Monday, October 25, 2010
A little too late
peace.. Just love the weather today. cloudy and windy and its a sunday. Probably going out later, currently its 5.04pm and the weather is very calm and relaxing(thank God). Today's entry is going to be a short one. Its a short study that I was doing months ago. This same topic had become my choice for my school project under professional profiling. Its a great experience to bring my own case to the accessors for the first time in my life. Its very similar to what a lawyer does, however a lawyer is trying to defend his/her client and for my professional profiling project I have to defend my claims.
Anyway just so you know the topic is on declining birth rate in singapore. Let me give an introduction to why Im selecting this topic. You might realize that I do not say anything good, all the entries and everything that is coming out from me is bad. You might even be thinking that im a negative, big-headed, ego person. Maybe I didnt explain my intentions well enough.
I am being taught in Islam to remind others and to bring them back to the straight path to the best of my ability. Even if I only know one word from the Quran, it will be best if I convey and not hold back thinking that I dont have enough knowledge to teach others. Im just making it a practice to convey the message to the best of my ability. Ofcourse I still love the world, even for all the bad things that has been done. I still love the people around me thats why im bothered to fight and kill the negativities in us. Although its not an easy task i would say, definitely i will not give up this task, because i believe that God and the believers are and will always be with me, to help assist me as all the believers are moving to the one same direction. See my job here might be seen by others as being firm and stern, but thats the only way it works.
Aite, back to the topic. Im quite sure that every single one of us living in this country can sense this problem, but im not too sure if you people can source out the problem of declining birth rate which is the main topic. Can you see that we have shortage of labourers, we need them and we got them from foreign countries mainly china, bangladesh, philippines, indonesia, india, ect. Without them i doubt this country can function for one day. Imagine what happens if WW3 occured and those foreigners have to return to their homeland, whats left of us then? These are setbacks we have to consider when being totally dependent of foreign workers.
There are so many problems that arises when the topic of foreign workers is brought forward. Many of the locals here are also unhappy because employment becomes more competitive, but the goverment do not have much choice either. Thats because its "A LITTLE TOO LATE" to change the situation. Let me provide you with some insights on the study of culture development.
Research has shown that for a culture to maintain iteself, it needs to have a minimum fertility rate of 2.1 per house-hold. Meaning the minimum requirement of fertility rate every singaporeans must have to maintain our culture is at-least 2 children per family. It continues... No culture has ever managed to bounce back if the fertility rate per family drops to 1.9. And once it drops until 1.3, its impossible to reverse because its an indication that something is really wrong with the country. It continues... During this time, it takes 80-100 years for the affected country to correct itself(meaning to throw the old system/culture and inherit the healthy one).
Above is a very good indicator to tell us where we are now. Im not too sure if you people have been keeping up with the news on incentives provided by government to increase fertility rate here. I have to tell you, our leaders are really worried on this problem, I should consider this as one of singapore's major problem. However the seriousness has not gone into the hearts of its people unfortunately. I can elaborate on why the incentives are not effective, it is a sub-topic, but will take quite a-while to explain. Maybe on the next one, insyahAllah.
Let put the indicator to the test and we use ourselves as the example. I am not too sure on the fertility figures in the past(you can check with your parents or grand-parents), but i am certainly sure that back then the fertility rate was way higher. It was 2.2 if im not wrong, back in the 50s and 60s. Than it droped to 1.6+ in the 70s and 80s(new policy of STOP AT ONE by government). 90s dropped further to below 1.3(government seen the potential threat). Since 2000 it has been 1.1 and below, it is steadily dropping but there was at one point of time where it gone up by just a fraction, however it plungged down quickly afterwards.
The figures differ when you look at different sources, however just stick with one, it will be roughly some-where around there. Either slightly above 1.1 or slightly below. So take the round-up figure of 1.1. Think of all the solutions that you wish to think. That is what the experts in this country has done. I would say that none of the solution will work as long as the government does not re-shuffle the whole system. It has gone below 1.3. it will keep dropping and more and more problem will arise such as, unemployment, slow development rate(in the past singapore was developing very fast, now seems to be slower),extinction of culture, threatens the safety of the citizens and many more.
At a larger scale most of the developed countries around the world is also facing the same problem. The affected developed countries are like france, england, greece, germany, italy, spain, japan, south korea, hong kong, singapore and many more. Developed countries should have roughly the same standard of living i suppose. Its a cycle if you people figure it out. Once a certain country attains a very high standard of living it will crumble back to ground zero and start all over again as a new begining.
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